Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000105 0.000118 0.000131 0.000147 0.000164 0.000182 0.000204
2024-10-13 0.000087 0.000104 0.000122 0.000146 0.000173 0.000204 0.000243
2024-10-20 0.000075 0.000094 0.000117 0.000147 0.000184 0.000229 0.000288
2024-10-27 0.000065 0.000086 0.000112 0.000148 0.000194 0.000253 0.000334
2024-11-03 0.000057 0.000078 0.000106 0.000146 0.000200 0.000272 0.000374
2024-11-10 0.000051 0.000074 0.000104 0.000149 0.000212 0.000299 0.000428
2024-11-17 0.000046 0.000068 0.000100 0.000148 0.000218 0.000319 0.000473
2024-11-24 0.000042 0.000064 0.000097 0.000148 0.000226 0.000341 0.000524
2024-12-01 0.000038 0.000060 0.000093 0.000146 0.000231 0.000359 0.000568
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000056 0.000089 0.000145 0.000236 0.000377 0.000615
2024-12-15 0.000031 0.000053 0.000087 0.000145 0.000242 0.000397 0.000666
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000145 0.000249 0.000419 0.000721
2024-12-29 0.000027 0.000048 0.000083 0.000146 0.000256 0.000443 0.000784
2025-01-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000080 0.000144 0.000261 0.000462 0.000840
2025-01-12 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000145 0.000269 0.000489 0.000912
2025-01-19 0.000021 0.000041 0.000077 0.000146 0.000278 0.000517 0.000988
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000144 0.000281 0.000535 0.001047
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000147 0.000293 0.000570 0.001141
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000036 0.000072 0.000146 0.000297 0.000591 0.001211
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000034 0.000070 0.000146 0.000305 0.000619 0.001295
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000033 0.000068 0.000145 0.000307 0.000637 0.001362
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000144 0.000311 0.000659 0.001437
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000030 0.000065 0.000143 0.000317 0.000684 0.001522